The Canadian housing market started 2025 on two very different paths—some areas are heating up, while others are cooling down.
Let’s start with the big picture. Home prices across Canada went up slightly in the first few months of the year. On average, prices rose 2.1% compared to last year, and 1.2% compared to the end of 2024. But not every area is following the same trend.
In expensive cities like Toronto and Vancouver, home prices have actually gone down a bit. In the Greater Toronto Area (GTA), prices dropped by 2.7% year-over-year, and condos saw an even bigger drop of 4%. Many buyers in these cities are feeling unsure because of ongoing political and economic issues—especially the trade tensions with the U.S. As a result, some people are waiting to buy, hoping for more clarity or better deals.
On the other hand, more affordable areas like Quebec, the Prairies, and Atlantic Canada are seeing steady growth. Quebec City is leading the way with a 17% price increase compared to last year. Montreal is also seeing strong growth. These regions are benefiting from a mix of lower interest rates, fewer homes for sale, and strong demand from buyers looking for more budget-friendly options.
When it comes to how Canadians feel about the economy, it’s a mixed bag. About half of Canadians say they’re confident in the country’s economic future, while the other half are not. People in Quebec are the most optimistic, while those in Manitoba, Saskatchewan, and Alberta feel the least confident—especially in places like Fort McMurray.
Despite the uncertainty, Canada’s real estate market is holding up well. Our financial system is strong, and even with all the global challenges, home prices remain fairly stable. Interest rates have come down quite a bit since last year, making it a better time for some buyers to borrow money. Experts say more rate cuts could come later this year if things stay on the current path.
With a federal election coming soon, housing affordability is a big issue. Each political party has a plan to make housing more accessible—whether that’s building more homes, cutting taxes, or helping first-time buyers. While these ideas could help over time, real change will take cooperation and long-term effort from all levels of government.
Looking ahead, Royal LePage expects home prices across Canada to rise about 5% by the end of the year. In the GTA, prices are expected to rise by 3.5%, though that’s a bit lower than earlier forecasts because the market has been slower than usual.
Canada’s housing market is split. Expensive cities are seeing a slowdown, while smaller, more affordable regions are picking up speed. If you’re buying or selling, it’s important to understand your local market. In quieter markets like Toronto, there may be good opportunities for buyers to negotiate. In faster-moving areas like Quebec, acting quickly could make a big difference.
No matter where you are, the real estate market continues to be a solid long-term investment—and those who stay informed and prepared will be in the best position to make smart decisions.
Check out the Royal LePage Q1 2025 report here.