Author: Real Insights Group Team | Date: January 15, 2026

The 2025 Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market has officially come to a close, marking a year defined by increased buyer leverage and a significant shift toward affordability. While annual sales volume saw a pull-back, the final data from December reveals a market that has successfully "reset," creating a strategic entry point for those looking toward the 2026 spring cycle.

Instead of the frenzied bidding wars of years past, 2025 was the year of the negotiation. With elevated inventory and stabilizing prices, the power has shifted back into the hands of prepared households.

📉 2025 Year-in-Review: By the Numbers

According to the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB), the full-year data reflects a period of cautious recalibration:

• Total Sales: 62,433 homes sold, down 11.2% from 2024. • New Listings: 186,753 properties hit the market, a 10.1% increase year-over-year. • Average Selling Price: Settled at $1,067,968, representing a 4.7% dip from the previous year’s average of $1,120,241.

“The GTA housing market became more affordable in 2025 as selling prices and mortgage rates trended lower. Improved affordability has set the market up for recovery.” — Daniel Steinfeld, TRREB President

📊 December Stats: Stability Amidst the Seasonal Slowdown

December is traditionally a quiet month for real estate, and 2025 was no exception. However, beneath the surface, price benchmarks showed remarkable resilience.

🏗️ Why "Pent-Up Demand" is the Theme for 2026

The narrative for the coming year isn't about a lack of buyers—it's about waiting for the green light. TRREB analysts point to several factors that could trigger a surge in activity by Q2 2026:

1. Employment Confidence: Buyers are waiting for a stabilized labor market before committing to long-term mortgage payments.

2. Trade & Infrastructure: Renewed trade certainty and large-scale domestic projects (announced in late 2025) are expected to boost regional GDP.

3. The "Missing Middle": There is a growing call for government action on tax relief and housing supply to help families find "breathing room" in the current economy.“Once households are convinced that the economy and labour market are on a solid footing, sales will increase as pent-up demand is satisfied.” — Jason Mercer, TRREB Chief Information Officer

🔑 The Bottom Line: What This Means For You

For Buyers: You are entering 2026 with maximum leverage. Inventory remains elevated compared to historical norms, and the 4.7% annual price drop essentially means "homes are on sale" compared to 2024. With mortgage rates trending lower, your purchasing power has significantly improved.

For Sellers: Success in early 2026 will depend on strategic pricing. The data shows that buyers are selective and price-sensitive.

Looking Ahead: Is 2026 Your Year?

The 2025 market was a necessary "cooling" period that has restored balance to the GTA. As we move into the new year, the focus shifts from if the market will recover to when. Ready to navigate the 2026 market?

Whether you are looking for a condo in the core or a detached home in the suburbs, our team provides the data-backed insights you need to make a move with confidence.

Contact us today to discuss your 2026 real estate goals.

The final 2025 data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) is in, showing a year defined by increased buyer leverage and improved affordability across the GTA. While annual sales were quieter due to economic caution, the market ended the year on a stable note, creating a unique window of opportunity for those looking to move in early 2026.

Annual home sales finished 11.2% lower than in 2024, while the average selling price for the year settled at $1,067,968—a 4.7% decrease that has helped many households find a more accessible entry point. In December specifically, the average price landed at $1,006,735. While this is lower than last year, when seasonally adjusted prices actually edged upward compared to November, signaling that the market floor has likely been established.

Looking ahead, the narrative for 2026 is all about consumer confidence. With trade relationships stabilizing and major infrastructure projects beginning to stimulate the economy, experts expect pent-up demand to drive a busier spring market. TRREB leaders emphasize that as employment remains resilient and borrowing costs trend lower, the "wait-and-see" crowd will likely return to the fold.

For now, the GTA remains a buyer-friendly environment with healthy inventory levels and significantly less competition than the peaks of recent years. For sellers, strategic pricing remains the key to success as the market prepares for a more active 2026.

👉 Want monthly market insights and expert real estate guidance? Subscribe to my newsletter and stay ahead of the GTA market trends.

If you’re making real estate decisions in 2026, this month brought two important updates:

1. The Bank of Canada held its overnight rate at 2.25%, and

2. The U.S. Federal Reserve cut its key interest rate again.

Both moves impact confidence, borrowing costs, and buyer behaviour — but in different ways.

Here’s a clear breakdown to help you understand what’s actually happening, without the noise.

Bank of Canada Holds at 2.25% — Why That Matters

The Bank of Canada kept its policy rate unchanged, signaling that it sees the current level as appropriate to keep inflation close to 2% while helping the economy adjust to post‑pandemic structural changes.

Key Takeaways for Canadian Homeowners + Buyers

• Inflation remains near target: CPI is sitting close to 2.2%, and core inflation is still around 2.5%.

• Economic growth is uneven: Q3 surprised to the upside (2.6% growth), but much of it was driven by trade volatility, not domestic demand.

• Labour market improving slowly: Jobs are recovering but hiring intentions are still soft.

• Expect stability over the next few months: Unless major data shifts, the BoC is signaling that rates are likely to remain stable.

This hold suggests we’re entering a period where Canadians can plan with a little more confidence — something we haven’t had in a while.

The U.S. Federal Reserve Cuts Rates — And Why Canada Should Still Pay Attention

The Federal Reserve reduced its key rate again, bringing it to roughly 3.6% — the lowest in nearly three years.

Markets largely expected the move, which is why the reaction was modest: the S&P hovered near record highs, and the Dow climbed.

Why this matters for Canadians

• Fed cuts can ease global financial conditions.

• U.S. economic shifts often spill over into Canada through trade, capital flows, and investor sentiment.

• A more accommodative U.S. stance can indirectly influence future decisions by the Bank of Canada — but not immediately.

But there’s a caveat:

The Fed is deeply divided internally. Some members want more cuts to support hiring, while others worry inflation is still too high. Their uncertainty could extend into early 2026.

What This Means for Toronto Buyers and Sellers in 2026

1. Mortgage Stability Is Returning

With the Bank of Canada pausing and inflation softening, buyers can expect more predictable borrowing conditions — something we haven’t enjoyed for years.

2. Detached and Luxury Homes Will See Renewed Interest

Educated professionals, families, and investors often make decisions based on confidence.

Rate stability tends to bring these buyers back earlier than most segments.

3. Sellers Should Plan Ahead — Smartly

If you’re preparing your home for a 2026 sale, focus on value‑driven updates, not trends.

Financially minded buyers (especially those in finance and tech) look for longevity, not design fads.

4. Expect a More Balanced Spring Market

With both central banks signaling “steady as she goes,” 2026 could see healthier activity — still competitive in key pockets, but with less volatility.

My Perspective as a Toronto Real Estate Advisor

After 19 years in this business, I’ve seen how markets behave when central banks pause, cut, or hold.

Periods like this tend to reward the people who take a calm, strategic approach — not the ones who rush.

If you’re making a move in 2026, the most important thing is clarity:

What do the numbers mean for your budget, your home, and your timeline?

That’s always the conversation worth having.

Thinking About a Move This Year?

If you want a straightforward breakdown of what today’s rates mean for your next purchase or sale — without pressure — I’m always here to help.

The latest data from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) shows that the Greater Toronto Area housing market remained buyer-friendly in November 2025, with sales, new listings, and average prices all down from a year earlier. Many buyers continue to wait on the sidelines, looking for stronger economic signals before making a move.

Home sales fell 15.8% year-over-year, while new listings dipped by 4%. The average selling price declined to $1,039,458, down 6.4% annually. Despite the softer numbers, month-to-month indicators show stability: prices held steady, and the average home price even edged up slightly from October.

Encouraging November employment data and stronger-than-expected economic growth point to improving consumer confidence heading into 2026. TRREB leaders note that a resilient job market and major infrastructure investments may help bring more buyers back into the market next year.

For now, buyers continue to benefit from a well-supplied market, offering more choice and less competition than in previous years. Sellers who price strategically are still securing results, especially in high-demand neighbourhoods.

👉 Want monthly market insights and expert real estate guidance? Subscribe to my newsletter and stay ahead of the GTA market trends.

Author: Real Insights Group Team | Date: December 08 2025

The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market continued to recalibrate in November 2025 as home sales, new listings, and average selling prices declined compared to the same period last year. The trend reflects a market where many would-be buyers are waiting for stronger economic signals before re-entering the competition.

But beneath the softer year-over-year numbers lies an important story: employment strength, improving economic indicators, and stable month-to-month pricing suggest the foundation for recovery in 2026 is quietly forming.

📉 Sales and Listings Decline as Buyers Wait for Economic Clarity

According to TRREB, REALTORS® reported 5,010 home sales across the GTA in November 2025 — a 15.8% decrease from November 2024. New listings totaled 11,134, down 4% year-over-year.

This cooling is less about lack of interest and more about buyer psychology.

“There are many GTA households who want to take advantage of lower borrowing costs and more favourable selling prices. What they need most is confidence in their long-term employment outlook,”

— TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule

Her comment captures the sentiment driving today’s market: demand exists, but confidence needs to catch up.

📊 Month-to-Month Numbers Show Early Signs of Stabilization

While year-over-year figures are softer, seasonally adjusted data paints a more balanced picture:

• Sales dipped only slightly from October to November

• New listings edged lower, keeping inventory healthy but not excessive

• MLS® HPI Composite was marginally down from October

• Average price inched upward month-over-month

In other words: we’re not seeing a downward slide — we’re seeing a market finding its footing.

🏘️ Prices Down Annually — But Holding Steady Month-to-Month

The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) Composite Benchmark fell 5.8% year-over-year, reflecting the impact of cautious buyers and broader economic uncertainty.

The average selling price reached $1,039,458, down 6.4% from November 2024.

However, on a monthly basis, prices remained stable, signalling that sellers are adjusting realistically while buyers remain selective.

📈 Why 2026 Could See a Rebound: Economic Data Turns Positive

November delivered something the housing market desperately needed: good economic news.

• Employment numbers beat expectations

• Economic growth outperformed forecasts

• Canada showed resilience against trade-related challenges

• Infrastructure plans announced in late 2025 are poised to stimulate jobs and long-term housing demand

“More certainty on the trade front coupled with positive economic impacts of recently announced infrastructure projects could improve homebuyer confidence moving forward,”

— Jason Mercer, TRREB Chief Market Analyst

If this momentum holds, it could create the backdrop for a more confident buyer pool in 2026, particularly in the spring and early fall cycles.

🏗️ A Well-Supplied Market — But Not Indefinitely

Despite moderating demand, the GTA continues to benefit from healthy resale inventory, giving buyers more choice than in previous tight markets.

However, TRREB issues a caution:

“As this inventory is absorbed, new construction is required to fill the housing pipeline,”

— John DiMichele, TRREB CEO

The call is clear:

To stabilize prices long-term and support population growth, Ontario needs more housing — not only condos, not only detached homes, but the missing middle in between.

Expect government incentives and development activity to be major conversations heading into 2026 and beyond.

🔑 The Bottom Line for Buyers and Sellers

For Buyers:

You are currently in one of the most favourable purchasing environments in recent years:

• More listings

• Reduced competition

• Stable month-to-month prices

• Lower borrowing costs compared to peak cycles

As employment data improves, you may not see this level of choice for long.

For Sellers:

While year-over-year prices are lower, stable monthly pricing suggests the market is nearing a baseline. Sellers who price strategically are still securing strong results — particularly in segments with limited supply (detached homes in prime school zones, family-oriented neighbourhoods, and transit-connected communities).

Looking Ahead to 2026

The GTA housing market is transitioning, not declining. Economic strength, job growth, and infrastructure investment will be the biggest catalysts heading into the new year.

If confidence continues to build, 2026 may mark the beginning of a more active and competitive market cycle.

Thinking About Buying or Selling in 2026?

We provides data-backed, neighbourhood-specific advice for buyers, sellers, and investors across the GTA.

If you’d like a custom breakdown of market trends in your area, contact us if want to know where the real opportunities are emerging.

Author: Real Insights Group Team Date: December 2, 2025

The release of the Fraser Institute’s annual school rankings is always a marquee event in the Ontario real estate calendar. While educators look at the scores, we at the Real Insights Group look at the zones.

The 2025 Report Card on Ontario’s Secondary Schools has just dropped, and the results confirm a trend we’ve been tracking for years: York Region and Oakville are solidifying their status as the premier academic (and investment) corridors in the province.

Here is our breakdown of the 2025 winners and the real estate markets they anchor, providing data-driven commentary for the discerning buyer.

🏆 The "Perfect" Score Club (10/10)

This year, four schools achieved a perfect 10/10 rating. If you own property in these catchment areas, you are sitting on a highly liquid asset—a home with a maximum "school zone premium."

• St. Robert Catholic High School (Thornhill)

• St. Therese of Lisieux Catholic High School (Richmond Hill)

• St. Augustine Catholic High School (Markham)

• St. Michael’s Choir School (Toronto)

The Real Estate Insight from Real Insights Group:

York Region Dominance: Three of the four top schools are in York Region (Thornhill, Richmond Hill, Markham). This concentration of excellence is a primary driver for the price resilience we see in these suburbs. Detached homes in the St. Robert and St. Therese zones command significant premiums because they offer the "suburban dream"—large lots paired with elite public education that rivals private tuition.

The Downtown Outlier: St. Michael’s Choir School in downtown Toronto is a unique case. Located in the Church-Yonge Corridor, this area offers a surprising "value" entry point. While the school is specialized, the surrounding real estate is condo-heavy, with median prices significantly lower than the freehold-heavy zones of York Region.

📈 The Heavy Hitters (9.0+)

The full list of schools scoring 9.0 or higher identifies the next tier of "blue chip" neighborhood’. Since multiple schools share a score, this list includes all 19 schools tied for the top 18 ranks, from 10.0 down to 9.0.

York Region (The Undisputed Heavyweight)

York Region continues to be the undisputed heavyweight champion of public education in Ontario. The density of high-ranking schools here translates directly into high demand for homes.

• Pierre Elliott Trudeau (Markham) – 9.5: Consistently anchors the high-demand Berczy Village market.

• Bur Oak Secondary (Markham) – 9.3: A key driver for the Wismer community, popular with families seeking newer detached homes.

• Bayview Secondary (Richmond Hill) – 9.2: Famous for its IB program, this school keeps demand in the Rouge Woods area perpetually high.

• Markville Secondary (Markham) – 9.2: Serves the central Markham area, supporting values near the Markville Mall corridor.

• Unionville High School (Unionville) – 9.0: A staple of academic excellence, sustaining high property values in the Old Town and surrounding areas.

• Thornlea Secondary (Thornhill) – 9.0: Adds another strong option for Thornhill buyers, specifically in the East Willowdale/Thornhill border area.

Oakville (Halton Region)

Oakville's reputation as a family haven is backed by hard data. It is rare to see this many top-tier schools in a single municipality.

• Abbey Park – 9.3: Located in the prestigious Glen Abbey neighbourhood.

• Iroquois Ridge – 9.3: Anchors the north-east Oakville market, known for larger executive homes.

• Gaétan-Gervais – 9.3: A top-tier French-language option that expands the buyer pool in its catchment.

• Oakville Trafalgar – 9.2: The historic powerhouse serving south-east Oakville, often associated with the luxury custom home market.

City of Toronto

While the city is vast, academic excellence is concentrated in specific, highly desirable pockets that savvy investors target.

• Ursula Franklin Academy – 9.7: A highly specialized school boosting desirability in the High Park/Junction area.

• Cardinal Carter Academy for the Arts – 9.3: Located in North York, this specialized arts school draws talent from across the city, boosting local rental and freehold demand.

• Bloor Collegiate Institute – 9.2: Significant achievement for this west-end school, signalling growth in the Dufferin-Grove/Bloordale area.

• Lawrence Park Collegiate – 9.1: Serves one of Toronto’s most affluent neighbourhoods, reinforcing the stability of property values in Lawrence Park.

• Malvern Collegiate Institute – 9.1: A consistent high-performer anchoring the popular Beaches and Upper Beaches communities.

• Leaside High School – 9.1: A top-tier school driving high property demand in the Leaside

City of Mississauga

Mississauga's only entry in the 9.0+ club is an independent school, which significantly influences buyer activity in its central region.

• Olive Grove School – 9.4: A top-tier independent Islamic school, attracting families to the central Mississauga area seeking this elite institution.

🚀 The "Improvers": Where to Look for Future Growth

As investors, we always look for the up-and-coming areas. The report highlighted schools like Georges-P-Vanier in Hamilton and Central Technical School in Toronto as fast improvers.

Strategy: Buying in a district with a rapidly improving school can be a smart long-term play. As the school's reputation rises, demographic shifts often follow, leading to gentrification and property appreciation that outpaces the market average. The Real Insights Group tracks these changes closely to help clients secure future equity.

🔑 The Bottom Line

In Ontario, a school district is never just about education—it’s about equity. The 2025 rankings reaffirm that Markham, Richmond Hill, and Oakville remain the "blue chip" stocks of the school-zone real estate market. For buyers, this sometimes means more competition in these catchments. For sellers, it means you hold a powerful negotiating card.

Want to know exactly which homes fall into any particular School Catchment? Contact the Real Insights Group today for a custom list of available properties in Ontario's top-ranked school zones.

Source: Fraser Institute Report Card on Ontario’s Secondary Schools 2025

The latest numbers from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) reveal that the Greater Toronto Area housing market continued to favor buyers in October 2025, as more listings came onto the market and prices adjusted downward. With softer demand and improved affordability, many homebuyers are finding opportunities that weren’t available in previous years.

With lower mortgage rates and reduced selling prices, monthly payments are now more manageable for qualified buyers. Those confident in their job stability may find that this is an ideal time to make a move before the market picks up again.

👉 Want monthly market insights and expert real estate advice? Subscribe to my newsletter to stay ahead of the trends!

The latest October 2025 stats from the Toronto Regional Real Estate Board (TRREB) paint a clear picture: the Greater Toronto Area (GTA) housing market continues to lean in favor of buyers. With home sales dipping and new listings climbing, those who are ready to make a move could find opportunities that simply weren’t available a year ago.

According to TRREB, GTA REALTORS® reported 6,138 home sales through the MLS® System in October — down 9.5% from October 2024. On the other hand, new listings rose by 2.7%, reaching 16,069 homes.

This shift means more options for buyers to choose from, and sellers are feeling the pressure to price more competitively.

💰 Prices and Mortgage Trends

The average selling price in October 2025 was $1,054,372, marking a 7.2% decrease year-over-year. The MLS® Home Price Index (HPI) also dropped 5% compared to last year.

But here’s the silver lining: mortgage rates have eased, and with prices down, monthly payments are becoming more manageable for many buyers.

As TRREB Chief Information Officer Jason Mercer explained, “The monthly mortgage payment for an average-priced GTA home continued to trend lower in October, benefitting from both lower borrowing costs and lower selling prices.”

This combination is giving confident buyers, especially those secure in their employment — a rare opportunity to enter the market under more affordable conditions than we’ve seen in recent years.

While lower prices are good news for buyers, many are still hesitant due to economic uncertainty. TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule noted that although some buyers are taking advantage of the current affordability, others remain on the sidelines, waiting for clearer signals about the economy.

Month-over-month data also shows that sales and new listings both dipped slightly from September, suggesting the fall market cooled off earlier than usual.

📌 What the Recent Bank of Canada Rate Cut Means

On October 29, 2025, the Bank of Canada lowered its target for the overnight rate by 25 basis points to 2.25%.

This move is significant for the real estate market for several reasons:

• Lower overnight rates typically influence borrowing costs, including mortgage interest rates, which can make homes more affordable for buyers.

• With the central bank signalling that this cut might be one of the last in this cycle unless inflation or growth deviate significantly, the room for further rate relief may be limited.

• For those considering buying or investing, this rate cut strengthens the argument for acting now before rates potentially rise or remain flat for longer.

In short: lower central-bank rates + lower home prices = enhanced opportunity for qualified buyers. For sellers, it means being realistic about pricing and preparing for competition.

Looking ahead, TRREB CEO John DiMichele emphasized the importance of housing as “essential economic infrastructure” and called for greater collaboration between the public and private sectors. With Ontario’s growing population, he pointed to the need for more innovation, faster construction, and updated government policies, including modernized tax rules and zoning reforms — to meet housing demand.

From my perspective as a local real-estate professional, this is a strategic window for buyers who have been waiting for prices and mortgage rates to align.

While market confidence is still rebuilding, today’s buyers have more negotiation power and less competition compared to the boom years.

If you’re thinking about buying or investing, this could be the right time to explore opportunities especially before market activity picks up again once economic conditions stabilize.

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