The Greater Toronto Area (GTA) real estate market experienced a dynamic year in 2024, marked by modest sales growth, increased inventory, and varied price trends across housing types. Let’s delve into the key takeaways and what they could mean for the year ahead.
A Look Back at 2024
In 2024, 67,610 homes were sold, a 2.6% increase compared to 65,877 homes sold in 2023. Meanwhile, 166,121 new listings entered the market, reflecting a notable 16.4% rise in supply. This influx gave buyers more options and greater negotiating power, particularly in the condo segment, which experienced the sharpest price declines.
The average home price in 2024 settled at $1,117,600, a slight dip from $1,126,263 in 2023. Detached and semi-detached homes retained their value better, while condos faced more significant pricing challenges.
The Role of Interest Rates
Persistently high interest rates throughout much of 2024 dampened affordability for many buyers. However, the Bank of Canada introduced two rate cuts in the second half of the year, providing some relief. TRREB President Elechia Barry-Sproule noted that these rate reductions, combined with slightly lower home prices, could help invigorate the market in 2025.
➡️ Read more: Bank of Canada Interest Rate Cuts and What They Mean for You
Key Market Trends from 2024
TRREB’s Chief Market Analyst, Jason Mercer, highlighted several trends:
Strong demand for single-family homes: Sales remained robust, reflecting their continued appeal.
Challenges for the condo market: Many first-time buyers postponed purchases, anticipating further interest rate reductions in 2025.
These trends underscore how market dynamics are influenced by both financial conditions and buyer sentiment.
Ending the Year: December 2024 in Numbers
The GTA market closed 2024 with 3,359 homes sold in December, a slight decline from December 2023. Active listings remained plentiful, offering buyers a wide range of choices. The average home price in December was $1,067,186, marginally lower year-over-year. The MLS® Home Price Index saw a modest increase of less than 1%.
Looking Ahead: Predictions for 2025
Here’s what could shape the GTA real estate market in 2025:
Further rate cuts from the Bank of Canada may boost affordability, drawing more first-time buyers into the market.
High inventory levels could keep buyer options open and prices relatively stable.
Potential policy changes on housing and development might influence supply and demand.
Diverging price trends: Detached and semi-detached homes are likely to hold value, while the condo market may continue to face challenges.
Market stabilization: With conditions normalizing after a period of adjustment, the market is expected to stabilize in 2025, bringing improved balance and better opportunities for both buyers and sellers.
TRREB’s comprehensive Market Outlook and Year in Review report, due in February, will shed more light on these evolving trends.
Stay Ahead of the Curve in 2025
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